Manmohan ready with his team, to meet President shortly
The Prime Minister Manmohan Singh must meet President Pratibha Patil to 10.30 to take place Thursday. One expects that it subjects the list of ministers to be sworn inside with him Friday.
Pranab Mukherjee as Minister for Finance -- a booklet which it held in the preceding box as well. P Chidambaram as at the house Minister. Still a booklet which it held in the preceding Cabinet.
AK Antony will be of return as a minister of defense. Kapil Sibal will be the minister of development of human resources.
Arjun Singh was the minister of HRD in the preceding Cabinet. Sharad Pawar is to be the Minister for agriculture, no change here either of Preceding cabinet. Praful Patel will be the minister of civil aviation. It held the same booklet in the Cabinet first Ace well.
HR Bhardwaj is going to be the Law Minister again. Salman Khursheed will be the Minority Affairs Minister. He was not holding any portfolio in the earlier Cabinet.
For more india election 2009 update http://www.indyalive.com
Pranab Mukherjee as Minister for Finance -- a booklet which it held in the preceding box as well. P Chidambaram as at the house Minister. Still a booklet which it held in the preceding Cabinet.
AK Antony will be of return as a minister of defense. Kapil Sibal will be the minister of development of human resources.
Arjun Singh was the minister of HRD in the preceding Cabinet. Sharad Pawar is to be the Minister for agriculture, no change here either of Preceding cabinet. Praful Patel will be the minister of civil aviation. It held the same booklet in the Cabinet first Ace well.
HR Bhardwaj is going to be the Law Minister again. Salman Khursheed will be the Minority Affairs Minister. He was not holding any portfolio in the earlier Cabinet.
For more india election 2009 update http://www.indyalive.com
RJD supremo said he is being insulted by congress
Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) chief Lalu Prasad finds he is no longer the Congress' favourite ally.
Lalu is also unlikely to retain his railways portfolio. Apparently unable to take the humiliation any more, at the Cabinet meeting on Monday morning, he asked just why was the Congress is insulting him so many times. Earlier, Lalu Prasad Yadav admitted that it was a mistake to not have allied with the Congress in Biharin india election 2009.
Though he got a phone call from Congress president Sonia Gandhi, it has been apparent that he won't have such an easy time getting a Cabinet berth.
Digivijay Singh said that the Congress did not consider Lalu's party to be a pre-poll ally and sources say the party is not keen on offering ministries to his party at all. "UPA chairperson rang up the Railway Minister on Saturday evening and requested him to attend a meeting of the Union Cabinet on Monday," his private secretary Bhola Yadav said.
Lalu is also unlikely to retain his railways portfolio. Apparently unable to take the humiliation any more, at the Cabinet meeting on Monday morning, he asked just why was the Congress is insulting him so many times. Earlier, Lalu Prasad Yadav admitted that it was a mistake to not have allied with the Congress in Biharin india election 2009.
Though he got a phone call from Congress president Sonia Gandhi, it has been apparent that he won't have such an easy time getting a Cabinet berth.
Digivijay Singh said that the Congress did not consider Lalu's party to be a pre-poll ally and sources say the party is not keen on offering ministries to his party at all. "UPA chairperson rang up the Railway Minister on Saturday evening and requested him to attend a meeting of the Union Cabinet on Monday," his private secretary Bhola Yadav said.
No Entry for SP,BSP,RJD and LJP : UP Congress Chief
UP congress Chief Rita Bahuguna Joshi Sunday appealed to the party's central leadership to stay away from the Samajwadi Party (SP), the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and the Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) while forming the new government at the centre.
"This is request to party leader indelhi that it should maintain a distance from SP, BSP and RLD while forming the government," .
Without naming Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) supremo Lalu Yadav and Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) chief Ram Vilas Paswan, Joshi said: "In fact, we will suggest to the high command to stay away from all those parties that insulted the Congress in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar and worked against us in india election 2009."
"Our distance from such parties would become the strength of the Congress party," she added.
Joshi said that she would make every effort to ensure Congress MPs from Uttar Pradesh were accommodated in Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's cabinet.
"I will ensure Uttar Pradesh gets a proper representation in the cabinet. For this, I would ask the central leadership to include at least five-six MPs from the state in the cabinet," said Joshi.
For more lok sabha election india update visit http://www.indyalive.com
"This is request to party leader indelhi that it should maintain a distance from SP, BSP and RLD while forming the government," .
Without naming Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) supremo Lalu Yadav and Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) chief Ram Vilas Paswan, Joshi said: "In fact, we will suggest to the high command to stay away from all those parties that insulted the Congress in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar and worked against us in india election 2009."
"Our distance from such parties would become the strength of the Congress party," she added.
Joshi said that she would make every effort to ensure Congress MPs from Uttar Pradesh were accommodated in Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's cabinet.
"I will ensure Uttar Pradesh gets a proper representation in the cabinet. For this, I would ask the central leadership to include at least five-six MPs from the state in the cabinet," said Joshi.
For more lok sabha election india update visit http://www.indyalive.com
Election updates in Haryana, Himachal, Chennai.
Haryana election update
Former chief minister Bhajan Lal of the newly floated Haryana Janhit Congress (HJC) was leading in Hisar seat over his rivals from the Congress and Indian National Lok Dal (INLD).
Chief Minister Bhupinder Singh Hooda's son, Deepinder Singh Hooda, who is seeking re-election from Rohtak, was leading over his nearest rival of the INLD by over 370,000 votes.
The Congress had won nine of the 10 seats in the 2004 general elections.
Himachal
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which was earlier leading in all the four parliamentary constituencies of Himachal Pradesh, started trailing in one seat as counting of votes progressed Saturday, a poll official said.
'While the BJP is maintaining a comfortable lead in three seats - Shimla, Hamirpur and Kangra - the Congress is now leading in one seat, Mandi, by early afternoon,' the official said.
Five-time former Congress chief minister Virbhadra Singh is leading over his rival Maheshwar Singh of the BJP by more than 13,000 votes from Mandi. This constituency saw the maximum voter turnout of 64 percent in the state.
From Hamirpur, sitting BJP MP Anurag Thakur, the son of Chief Minister Prem Kumar Dhumal, was leading by 72,378 votes, while the BJP's Virender Kashyap and Rajan Sushant from Shimla and Kangra are leading by 34,274 and 28,439 votes respectively.
The Congress had won three seats in the 2004
In chennai many of the Congress' top leaders were trailing in Tamil Nadu though its alliance with the DMK and the VCK alliance was leading in 27 of the 39 constituencies in Tamil Nadu. The rival AIADMK front that includes the Left parties, MDMK and PMK was ahead in 12 seats.
The Congress was leading in seven out of 16 constituencies it was contesting, though its big leaders like P. Chidambaram, E.V.K.S. Elangovan, Mani Shankar Aiyar and K.V. Thankabalu were trailing in their constituencies.
Chief Minister Karunanidhi's son M.K. Azhagiri was ahead of his nearest CPI-M rival P Mohan in Madurai. The PMK was trailing in all the seven seats it was contesting.
In the fray in Tamil Nadu are 823 candidates.
For more info:http://www.indyalive.com
Former chief minister Bhajan Lal of the newly floated Haryana Janhit Congress (HJC) was leading in Hisar seat over his rivals from the Congress and Indian National Lok Dal (INLD).
Chief Minister Bhupinder Singh Hooda's son, Deepinder Singh Hooda, who is seeking re-election from Rohtak, was leading over his nearest rival of the INLD by over 370,000 votes.
The Congress had won nine of the 10 seats in the 2004 general elections.
Himachal
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which was earlier leading in all the four parliamentary constituencies of Himachal Pradesh, started trailing in one seat as counting of votes progressed Saturday, a poll official said.
'While the BJP is maintaining a comfortable lead in three seats - Shimla, Hamirpur and Kangra - the Congress is now leading in one seat, Mandi, by early afternoon,' the official said.
Five-time former Congress chief minister Virbhadra Singh is leading over his rival Maheshwar Singh of the BJP by more than 13,000 votes from Mandi. This constituency saw the maximum voter turnout of 64 percent in the state.
From Hamirpur, sitting BJP MP Anurag Thakur, the son of Chief Minister Prem Kumar Dhumal, was leading by 72,378 votes, while the BJP's Virender Kashyap and Rajan Sushant from Shimla and Kangra are leading by 34,274 and 28,439 votes respectively.
The Congress had won three seats in the 2004
In chennai many of the Congress' top leaders were trailing in Tamil Nadu though its alliance with the DMK and the VCK alliance was leading in 27 of the 39 constituencies in Tamil Nadu. The rival AIADMK front that includes the Left parties, MDMK and PMK was ahead in 12 seats.
The Congress was leading in seven out of 16 constituencies it was contesting, though its big leaders like P. Chidambaram, E.V.K.S. Elangovan, Mani Shankar Aiyar and K.V. Thankabalu were trailing in their constituencies.
Chief Minister Karunanidhi's son M.K. Azhagiri was ahead of his nearest CPI-M rival P Mohan in Madurai. The PMK was trailing in all the seven seats it was contesting.
In the fray in Tamil Nadu are 823 candidates.
For more info:http://www.indyalive.com
India election 2009
It’s the age where “news” is not “news” sufficient any longer but “prognostication on what news power be” some time from now is more interesting “news” of India election 2009.
So here is to including down in hope of the exit polls.With exit polls having acquired a disreputable reputation over the many election cycles since 2004, how must we interpret the exit polls that will be released later today?
The key is to bring together if there is a trend that all the exit polls agree on for a given State.
If one looks back at the exit polls over the last 4 years they have rarely been accurate on final numbers but most did point to a dominant trend but were muted on how accentuated the trend was.So in 2004 you had exit polls detected the dominant trend of NDA losing ground but being muted in their estimate of the importance of loss.in the same way in the Uttar Pradesh assembly polls the exit polls polls detected the leading trend of Mayawati’s BSP smelling power but were soft in their guess of whether the BSP would cross the half-way mark.
We saw the same thing in the Gujarat exit polls that saw the dominant trend of Narendra Modi coming back but were muted in how badly the Congress would perform.In Karnataka as well the exit polls were right on the trend of BJP being at the top of the triad but were muted in how close it would get to a majority of its own.
To extrapolate exit polls to the final outcome on May 16th one should first look for dominant trends on a State by State basis that all the exit polls agree on.We must then extrapolate that dominant trend to what it could mean in seats with some reality check on how accentuate or muted the trend was before adding up those extrapolations to arrive at the national figures.
The challenge like in 2004 will be the effects of the Zero Sum Game, where theatrical trends in opposite directions across 2 states cancel each other out between the Congress and BJP. This could make the sum total of extrapolations suspect for there could be small valuables in each state that could add up to a major scope for a party like the Congress which is in fray in more States than for a party like the BJP that is in fray in slighter States.
Key state wise trends that we must look for
- be gain by the PRP in Andhra coming at the cost of losses for the Congress ?
- Is the Congress pain more losses than NCP in Maharashtra ?
- Is the JD-S vote share decrease dramatically in Karnataka ?
- Degree of losses for Left in Kerala and West Bengal
- Differential between AIDMK and DMK in Tamil Nadu
- Degree to which SP is investment ground in Uttar Pradesh
- Degree to which BJP is holding ground in Orissa
End of the day
- the Congress’ best chances lie in poor performance by the Left in Kerala and West Bengal coupled with gains in Orissa and other NDA ruled states to offset predictable losses in Andhra and Maharashtra.
- the BJP’s best chances lie in holding ground and limiting losses in NDA ruled states making important gains in Maharashtra, Bihar and Jharkhand while getting lucky in Uttar Pradesh.
For more info: http://www.indyalive.com
So here is to including down in hope of the exit polls.With exit polls having acquired a disreputable reputation over the many election cycles since 2004, how must we interpret the exit polls that will be released later today?
The key is to bring together if there is a trend that all the exit polls agree on for a given State.
If one looks back at the exit polls over the last 4 years they have rarely been accurate on final numbers but most did point to a dominant trend but were muted on how accentuated the trend was.So in 2004 you had exit polls detected the dominant trend of NDA losing ground but being muted in their estimate of the importance of loss.in the same way in the Uttar Pradesh assembly polls the exit polls polls detected the leading trend of Mayawati’s BSP smelling power but were soft in their guess of whether the BSP would cross the half-way mark.
We saw the same thing in the Gujarat exit polls that saw the dominant trend of Narendra Modi coming back but were muted in how badly the Congress would perform.In Karnataka as well the exit polls were right on the trend of BJP being at the top of the triad but were muted in how close it would get to a majority of its own.
To extrapolate exit polls to the final outcome on May 16th one should first look for dominant trends on a State by State basis that all the exit polls agree on.We must then extrapolate that dominant trend to what it could mean in seats with some reality check on how accentuate or muted the trend was before adding up those extrapolations to arrive at the national figures.
The challenge like in 2004 will be the effects of the Zero Sum Game, where theatrical trends in opposite directions across 2 states cancel each other out between the Congress and BJP. This could make the sum total of extrapolations suspect for there could be small valuables in each state that could add up to a major scope for a party like the Congress which is in fray in more States than for a party like the BJP that is in fray in slighter States.
Key state wise trends that we must look for
- be gain by the PRP in Andhra coming at the cost of losses for the Congress ?
- Is the Congress pain more losses than NCP in Maharashtra ?
- Is the JD-S vote share decrease dramatically in Karnataka ?
- Degree of losses for Left in Kerala and West Bengal
- Differential between AIDMK and DMK in Tamil Nadu
- Degree to which SP is investment ground in Uttar Pradesh
- Degree to which BJP is holding ground in Orissa
End of the day
- the Congress’ best chances lie in poor performance by the Left in Kerala and West Bengal coupled with gains in Orissa and other NDA ruled states to offset predictable losses in Andhra and Maharashtra.
- the BJP’s best chances lie in holding ground and limiting losses in NDA ruled states making important gains in Maharashtra, Bihar and Jharkhand while getting lucky in Uttar Pradesh.
For more info: http://www.indyalive.com
